On this biweekly collection, racing analyst Keeler Johnson shares promising horses from his handicapping watch record, reviewing runners who’ve just lately caught his eye and previewing horses scheduled to run again within the close to future.
New to the Watch Listing
It’s secure to say coach Brendan Walsh loved a powerful Saturday. Three of his 5 starters reached the winner’s circle, together with two (Prevalance and Zofelle, see under) who acquired widespread acclaim.
However I’m simply as intrigued by Walsh’s third winner, the unheralded Blue Cat. Walsh wins at solely an 8 % charge with first-time starters, but Blue Cat was clearly able to roll in his debut at Tampa Bay Downs. Racing a mile over the turf course, Blue Cat was completely content material to settle in seventh place because the leaders carved out fractions of :23.49, :47.87, and 1:12.36.
However down the homestretch, Blue Cat unleashed a merely depraved flip of foot. Within the last furlong (which he ran in about :11.11!), Blue Cat dashed from three lengths behind the leaders to three 1/2 lengths in entrance. His last time of 1:36.21 wasn’t something to write down dwelling about, however as a son of turf champion Huge Blue Kitten out of a mare by A.P. Indy, Blue Cat is bred to enhance with maturity. I believe we’ll hear loads from this gifted 3-year-old in 2021 and past.
I’m removed from the one handicapper including Prevalence to my watch record after his spectacular debut victory on Saturday at Gulfstream Park. Apart from breaking a step slowly, the Godolphin homebred turned in a just about flawless efficiency. After dueling for the lead whereas racing within rivals, Prevalence drew off below the lightest of urging to win by 8 1/2 lengths.
Prevalence stopped the clock in a strong 1:23.00 for 7 furlongs, and his finest is definitely but to return. As a son of stamina affect Medaglia d’Oro out of a mare by Horse of the 12 months Ghostzapper, Prevalance is bred to stretch out in distance and might be a Grade 1 star within the making.
I cherished Zofelle’s efficiency within the Marshua’s River (G3) racing a mile over the Gulfstream turf course. Coming back from a 7-month layoff, the daughter of Zoffany rated patiently within the again half of the sphere via splits of :23.18, :46.12, and 1:09.36, then unleashed an eye catching broad rally across the far flip to achieve rivalry. By the highest of the stretch, Zofelle was clearly shifting strongest, and she or he dashed the ultimate two furlongs in :11.55 and :11.51 to win by two lengths in 1:32.42.
This efficiency was a noteworthy step ahead off Zofelle’s 2020 kind, suggesting the 5-year-old mare is simply now reaching her peak. An enormous season might be within the offing if she retains operating like she did within the Marshua’s River.
Delivered as anticipated within the Smarty Jones Stakes at Oaklawn Park, main all the best way to crush his rivals by 10 1/4 lengths. This Brad Cox trainee is progressing quickly in the best course and figures to be a front-running drive to reckon with on the Derby path this winter.
Turned in one other spectacular efficiency to win the Pegasus World Cup Turf (G1), bringing his report on turf to a near-perfect 3-for-4. The son of Liam’s Map saved floor early on, then battled his manner outdoors of rivals to rally quick and prevail by a neck over Ft. Lauderdale (G2) winner Largent. From a mile to 1 1/4 miles (or possibly even farther), Colonel Liam must be robust to beat this season.
Quick fractions of :22.90, :46.16, and 1:09.91 couldn’t cease Knicks Go from dominating the Pegasus World Cup (G1) as he stayed on strongly down the stretch to win by 2 3/4 lengths in his first begin over 1 1/8 miles. Knicks Go has developed right into a monster below the care of Brad Cox and will take goal at both the Saudi Cup or the Dubai World Cup for his subsequent run.
Steve Asmussen trainee confirmed spectacular tenacity to rally and win Oaklawn Park’s Fifth Season Stakes by a determined nostril over a number of stakes winner Hunka Burning Love. A son of Onerous Spun out of an Empire Maker mare, Silver State has gained three straight races since getting back from a layoff in October and is clearly bettering with maturity. A graded stakes win must be inside attain this winter.
Value one other strive
Though Anothertwistafate completed final within the Pegasus World Cup Turf, he didn’t run a nasty race by any means. After urgent the tempo, Anothertwistafate was in rivalry till the eighth pole, when he was compelled to regular in visitors. In the long run, he was crushed solely six lengths for victory (and simply 3 3/4 lengths for third place), so I’m optimistic he’ll rebound towards simpler firm subsequent time.
Ran too nicely to lose towards Silver State within the Fifth Season, carving out the tempo earlier than settling for second place. Hunka Burning Love pulled 3 3/4 lengths forward of the remainder and was carrying seven kilos greater than Silver State, so it’s clear the 7-year-old gelding stays in sturdy kind for coach Karl Broberg.
Off the Watch Listing
Ran nicely under par within the Pegasus World Cup, weakening from a monitoring place to complete tenth by 14 lengths. I’ll wish to see how Tax bounces again earlier than returning him to my watch record.
I added Mr Vargas to my watch record after a decisive allowance victory on grime at Los Alamitos, so I used to be ready to forgive the 7-year-old veteran if he faltered whereas switching to turf for the Clocker’s Nook Stakes at Santa Anita. However Mr Vargas ran nicely under my expectations, weakening to complete final by a large margin after setting splits of :21.76 and :44.65. Maybe he didn’t look after the course, or possibly he regressed whereas racing with out Lasix. However for now, I’ll take away him from my watch record.
Right here is my full, up to date record of horses to look at.